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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.72%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
46.65% ( 0.26) | 21.87% ( 0.17) | 31.48% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 67.84% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.14% ( -1.03) | 31.86% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.6% ( -1.22) | 53.4% ( 1.23) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( -0.3) | 14.34% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.81% ( -0.59) | 42.19% ( 0.6) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -0.72) | 20.8% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( -1.15) | 53.47% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.48% |
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