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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
70.64% ( 0.09) | 17.36% ( -0.04) | 12% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.06) | 37.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.06) | 60.07% ( -0.06) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.46% ( 0.04) | 9.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.05% ( 0.08) | 31.95% ( -0.09) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.05) | 42.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( -0.04) | 78.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 70.64% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 12% |
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