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AU
Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2023 at 10pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
IM

Atlanta
5 - 2
Inter Miami

Muyumba (36'), Miller (41' og.), Lennon (44'), Giakoumakis (76'), Wolff (89')
Muyumba (29'), Abram (52')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Campana (25', 53' pen.)
Farias (57'), Stefanelli (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-3 Inter Miami

With both these sides finding the net relatively easily of late while also shipping their fair share at the other end of the pitch, this has the makings of a goal fest. However, with excellent form over the last few months, we feel the visitors will manage to outscore their opponents.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
60.42% (-0.103 -0.1) 20.21% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 19.37% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64% (-0.116 -0.12)36% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.91% (-0.128 -0.13)58.1% (0.133 0.13)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)11.6% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (-0.138 -0.14)36.59% (0.141 0.14)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.012 -0.01)68.33% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.42%
    Inter Miami 19.37%
    Draw 20.21%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 60.42%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.21%
1-2 @ 5.21% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 19.37%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Nashville
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-2 Atlanta
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Orlando City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-3 Inter Miami
Monday, September 4 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 24 at 12am in US Open Cup
Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 16 at 1.59am in Major League Soccer


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