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Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
OC

Atlanta
1 - 2
Orlando City

Wiley (22')
Alonso (59'), Giakoumakis (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carlos (25'), McGuire (60')
Cartagena (45+2'), Jansson (45+3'), McGuire (65'), Angulo (86'), Carlos (90+6'), Gallese (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City
Sunday, July 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Orlando City

While there is little to choose between these sides based on their league position this season, Atlanta's home form of late cannot be overlooked. They are unbeaten in their last five, while Orlando have failed to win any of their last three matches on the road and have failed to score in their last two. We do not expect a clean sheet from the hosts, but we do fancy that they will get the win.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
60.46% (1.599 1.6) 21.32% (-0.714 -0.71) 18.22% (-0.885 -0.89)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.745 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (1.786 1.79)43.07% (-1.784 -1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (1.742 1.74)65.47% (-1.742 -1.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (1.09 1.09)13.81% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85% (2.115 2.12)41.15% (-2.113 -2.11)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (0.073 0.07)37.28% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.07% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.46%
    Orlando City 18.22%
    Draw 21.32%
Atlanta UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.266 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.252 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.137 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.127 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-1 DC United
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City
Sunday, July 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 3-1 Orlando City
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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