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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
57.85% ( 0.23) | 20.91% ( -0.32) | 21.24% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.84% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( 1.69) | 36.6% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( 1.82) | 58.75% ( -1.82) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( 0.61) | 12.5% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.5% ( 1.26) | 38.5% ( -1.25) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( 1.06) | 30.47% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( 1.24) | 66.68% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.3)1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.11% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.24% |
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