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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
OC

Chicago Fire
3 - 1
Orlando City

Sekulic (45+1'), Beric (72'), Offor (90+6')
Bornstein (12'), Medran (22'), Herbers (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perea (34')
Jansson (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawOrlando City
39.96%26.38%33.66%
Both teams to score 52.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91%52.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19%73.81%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39%25.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71%29.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75%65.25%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.95%
    Orlando City 33.66%
    Draw 26.37%
Chicago FireDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.95%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.66%

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