Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.