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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
52.25% ( -3.33) | 22.19% ( 0.66) | 25.56% ( 2.68) |
| Both teams to score 61.84% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( -0.29) | 37.75% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( -0.31) | 59.99% ( 0.31) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -1.15) | 14.61% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.29% ( -2.26) | 42.71% ( 2.27) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( 1.95) | 27.58% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( 2.45) | 63.1% ( -2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.17)Other @ 4.25% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.5) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.74% Total : 25.56% |
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