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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
71.65% ( -0.89) | 16.9% ( 0.48) | 11.46% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.91% ( -1.16) | 37.09% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.71% ( -1.26) | 59.29% ( 1.26) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( -0.49) | 9.12% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.05% ( -1.19) | 30.95% ( 1.19) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.06) | 42.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( -0.05) | 79.13% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.64% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 11.46% |
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