SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
45.78% ( 1.21) | 24.7% ( -0.35) | 29.52% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( 1.11) | 46.39% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( 1.04) | 68.67% ( -1.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( 0.99) | 20.34% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.27% ( 1.55) | 52.74% ( -1.55) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -0.02) | 29.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -0.03) | 65.15% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.52% |
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