SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
58.37% ( -0.2) | 21.18% ( 0.07) | 20.44% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( -0.15) | 39.02% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.16) | 61.34% ( 0.16) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( -0.11) | 13.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.21% ( -0.22) | 39.78% ( 0.22) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( 0.03) | 32.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( 0.04) | 69.14% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.44% |
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