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LA
Major League Soccer
Oct 29, 2023 at 1am UK
Banc of California Stadium
VW

Los Angeles
5 - 2
Vancouver

Hollingshead (18', 52'), Bouanga (29', 64'), Murillo (80')
Vela (22')
FT(HT: 2-2)
White (27'), Adekugbe (40')
Brown (41'), Blackmon (55'), Vite (63'), Johnson (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (Vancouver win on penalties)

From the outset of the 2023 MLS campaign, LAFC have had a target on their back, and although they finished the season strong, they have played a lot more games than most MLS sides this year, making the CONCACAF Champions League final, the Leagues Cup quarter-finals and also competing in the Campeones Cup, all of that to say they may be a little fatigued. The Whitecaps are not the same team that the LA saw at the CONCACAF Champions League this year, and their quick ball movements and pace could be difficult for the home side to handle, while the pressure on them will not be nearly as heavy as what the expectations are for Los Angeles.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
60.94% (1.5 1.5) 20.27% (-0.297 -0.3) 18.79% (-1.202 -1.2)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-1.135 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.78% (-0.491 -0.49)37.22% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.533 -0.53)59.42% (0.53299999999999 0.53)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (0.26300000000001 0.26)11.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.91% (0.557 0.56)37.09% (-0.556 -0.56)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-1.488 -1.49)33.19% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-1.677 -1.68)69.79% (1.678 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 60.94%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 18.79%
    Draw 20.27%
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.391 0.39)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.283 0.28)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.215 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 18.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-4 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Salt Lake
Monday, October 2 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Los Angeles
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Vancouver
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 St Louis City
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-2 DC United
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, September 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer


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