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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
61.76% ( 0.02) | 20.63% ( -0.02) | 17.61% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( 0.08) | 40.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( 0.08) | 63.34% ( -0.07) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( 0.03) | 12.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.99% ( 0.06) | 39.01% ( -0.06) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( 0.04) | 36.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( 0.04) | 73.49% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.81% 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.76% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.61% |
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