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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
49.03% ( 0.11) | 25.35% ( -0.02) | 25.62% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% ( 0.01) | 51.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.59% ( 0.01) | 73.41% ( -0) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.05) | 21.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 0.08) | 53.88% ( -0.08) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( -0.07) | 34.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% ( -0.07) | 71.68% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.62% |
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