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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.6% ( 0.69) | 25% ( 0.1) | 30.4% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.78) | 47.29% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -0.73) | 69.52% ( 0.73) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.02) | 21.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( -0.02) | 54.14% ( 0.02) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -0.92) | 29.06% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -1.15) | 64.97% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.4% |
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