SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | -3 | 43 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 0 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New York City FC | 31 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 30 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 30 | -10 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
55.59% ( -0.14) | 23.18% ( 0.06) | 21.23% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.17) | 46.95% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.15) | 69.2% ( 0.15) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( -0.11) | 16.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.36% ( -0.2) | 46.64% ( 0.19) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( -0.02) | 36.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( -0.02) | 73.14% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.23% |
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