There is more to come from both sides, and the Red Bulls will hope home advantage can give them an edge as they seek a first win of the season.
Columbus have shown improvement after a woeful opening day, but will rely on Zelarayan for inspiration here.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.