After an off year in 2022, the powerhouse Sounders are back to winning ways, and we expect their stingy defensive unit will frustrate this potent St Louis attack on Saturday, while the Rave Green have a striker in fine form, who is brimming with confidence and could do some more damage.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.