Both teams are in good goalscoring form of late so we do not expect either of them to come away without conceding. That said, we are also backing the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all the three points in the end.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.
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