SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -11 | 34 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 31 | 0 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | -3 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.98% ( -0.43) | 22.92% ( 0.09) | 21.1% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( 0.01) | 45.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.01) | 68.29% ( -0.01) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( -0.14) | 16.25% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.23% ( -0.26) | 45.77% ( 0.26) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( 0.34) | 35.94% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.28% ( 0.34) | 72.72% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.1% |
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