Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
