SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Banbury United |
50.43% ( 3.33) | 23.62% ( -1.2) | 25.95% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( 2.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( 3.71) | 44.02% ( -3.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% ( 3.52) | 66.4% ( -3.52) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 2.79) | 17.53% ( -2.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( 4.64) | 48.06% ( -4.64) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( 0.31) | 30.6% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( 0.37) | 66.84% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Banbury United |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.67)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.48)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.45)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.37)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.92)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -1.02)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.57)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.97% Total : 25.95% |
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