SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
46.76% ( -0.36) | 24.98% ( 0.16) | 28.26% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.57) | 48.32% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.53) | 70.46% ( 0.53) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.39) | 20.7% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.61) | 53.3% ( 0.61) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.15) | 31.1% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( -0.18) | 67.43% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.26% |
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