SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | South Shields |
39.97% ( 0.14) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( 0.04) | 44.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% ( 0.04) | 66.93% ( -0.04) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.08) | 22.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 0.13) | 55.68% ( -0.13) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.05) | 24.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( -0.07) | 59.24% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | South Shields |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.3% |
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