Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
