SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Gloucester City |
37.87% ( -0.89) | 26.48% ( 0.39) | 35.64% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( -1.59) | 52.27% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( -1.39) | 73.97% ( 1.38) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -1.24) | 26.84% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( -1.66) | 62.14% ( 1.65) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.46) | 28.14% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( -0.59) | 63.82% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.87% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.65% |
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