Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Boston United	Draw	Alfreton Town
30.02% ( 0.24)	26.04% ( -0.08)	43.93% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 52.32% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

0.44)

51.84% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

0.38)

73.6% (

-0.38)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

0.4)

31.63% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

0.45)

68.04% (

-0.46)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

0.11)

23.48% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

0.16)

57.5% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Boston United 30.02%

Alfreton Town 43.93%

Draw 26.04%

Boston United	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.02%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.93%