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National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
2 - 4
Hereford

Pollock (29' pen., 76')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Amadi-Holloway (9'), Pendley (14'), Evans (20'), Barnett (23')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Boston
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Leamington
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawHereford United
46.39% (-0.489 -0.49) 24.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 29.11% (0.533 0.53)
Both teams to score 56.83% (0.515 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (0.517 0.52)45.69% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98% (0.49 0.49)68.01% (-0.495 -0.5)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.0049999999999955 0)51.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (0.64100000000001 0.64)29.14% (-0.646 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (0.786 0.79)65.06% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 46.39%
    Hereford United 29.11%
    Draw 24.49%
Boston UnitedDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 29.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Boston
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-2 Boston
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Buxton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Boston
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Kettering
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Boston
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Leamington
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Hereford
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-3 Gloucester City
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 3-1 Hereford
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North


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