SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
43.08% ( 0.1) | 27.13% ( -0.03) | 29.79% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( 0.07) | 56.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( 0.05) | 77.22% ( -0.06) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( 0.08) | 25.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( 0.11) | 60.79% ( -0.12) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.02) | 34.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% ( -0.03) | 70.73% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.79% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
