SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Chester FC |
62.73% ( 0.07) | 20.49% ( -0.02) | 16.78% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0) | 41.76% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( -0) | 64.16% ( 0) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( 0.02) | 12.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.05% ( 0.04) | 38.95% ( -0.04) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.06) | 38.16% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.07% ( -0.06) | 74.92% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 62.72% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.78% |
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