Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Alfreton Town
70.26%	18.16%	11.58%

Both teams to score 47.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27%

42.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87%

65.13%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.05%

10.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.83%

35.17%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.7%

46.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05%

81.95%

Score Analysis

Chorley 70.26%

Alfreton Town 11.58%

Draw 18.16%

Chorley	Draw	Alfreton Town
2-0 @ 12.4% 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 5.06% 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.79% Total : 70.26%	1-1 @ 8.64% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.16%	0-1 @ 3.9% 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.58%