Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chorley in this match.
