Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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