Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Southport had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Southport
51.54% ( 0.02)	25.29% ( -0.01)	23.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

0.02)

53.4% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

0.01)

74.94% (

-0.01)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27% (

0.02)

20.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.64% (

0.02)

53.35% (

-0.02)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

-0)

38.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

-0)

74.87% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chorley 51.54%

Southport 23.17%

Draw 25.29%

Chorley	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.17%