Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Blyth Spartans
42.69% ( 6.39)	27.69% ( 0.26)	29.62% ( -6.65)

Both teams to score 47.23% (

-2.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.73% (

-2.2)

58.26% (

2.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1% (

-1.75)

78.9% (

1.75)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

2.59)

27% (

-2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

3.27)

62.35% (

-3.28)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7% (

-5.69)

35.29% (

5.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95% (

-6.41)

72.05% (

6.4)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 42.68%

Blyth Spartans 29.62%

Draw 27.68%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Blyth Spartans
1-0 @ 12.47% ( 1.8) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.67) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.93) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.36) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.68%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -1.14) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -1.32) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.86) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.84) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.41) Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.62%