SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
42.69% ( 0.05) | 26.19% ( -0.05) | 31.12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( 0.2) | 52.02% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( 0.17) | 73.76% ( -0.17) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.11) | 24.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 0.16) | 58.49% ( -0.16) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0.1) | 30.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( 0.11) | 67.25% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.69% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3% Total : 31.12% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
