SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
37.28% ( 3.53) | 26.2% ( 0.02) | 36.51% ( -3.54) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.24) | 51.04% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 0.21) | 72.9% ( -0.21) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 2.24) | 26.6% ( -2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( 2.87) | 61.83% ( -2.87) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -1.85) | 27.04% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.59% ( -2.48) | 62.4% ( 2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.75)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.49)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.51% |
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