Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
