SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
42.1% ( 0.06) | 25.25% ( -0.02) | 32.64% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 0.07) | 47.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.06) | 69.73% ( -0.06) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.06) | 22.49% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.95% ( 0.09) | 56.05% ( -0.09) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0) | 27.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( 0.01) | 63.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.64% |
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