Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
0.02) 
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