Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
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