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National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium
EU

Braintree
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Solly (14' og.), Pavey (68'), Clements (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coulthirst (42'), Chapman (60')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Braintree
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Oxford City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Braintree TownDrawEbbsfleet
18.38% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 23.32% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 58.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (-0.139 -0.14)51.21% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (-0.122 -0.12)73.05% (0.122 0.12)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.12% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)41.87% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.67% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)78.33% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)17.3% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)47.65% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 18.38%
    Ebbsfleet 58.29%
    Draw 23.32%
Braintree TownDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.38%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 58.29%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Braintree
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-3 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-2 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Oxford City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 25 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 7-2 Worthing
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South


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