Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.