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National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 0
Chelmsford City

Young (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Dover Athletic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-1 Dartford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawChelmsford City
12.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 70.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)38.76% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)61.07% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.23% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)42.77% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)79.09% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)9.89% (0.024900000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.23% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)32.77% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 12.14%
    Chelmsford City 70.22%
    Draw 17.63%
Dover AthleticDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 12.14%
1-1 @ 8.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.63%
0-2 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 8.73% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 4.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-6 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 70.22%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Dover Athletic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-1 Dartford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-1 Bath City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-4 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 9 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Worthing
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South


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