Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.