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National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
0 - 1
Weston

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grubb (33')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWeston-super-Mare
30.9% (0.032 0.03) 24.24% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.89% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)62.21% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)19.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 30.9%
    Weston-super-Mare 44.86%
    Draw 24.23%
Dover AthleticDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 44.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Welling United
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 4-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South


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