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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
YT

Dover Athletic
1 - 3
Yeovil

Baptiste (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morgan (16', 29'), Foulston (54' og.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 77.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.65%) and 0-3 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawYeovil Town
7.1% (-0.0289 -0.03) 15.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 77.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 39.07% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)43.97% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)66.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.14% (-0.107 -0.11)56.87% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.04% (-0.061 -0.06)88.97% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)9.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 7.1%
    Yeovil Town 77.63%
    Draw 15.26%
Dover AthleticDrawYeovil Town
1-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 7.1%
1-1 @ 7.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.26%
0-2 @ 14.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 11.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 77.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Dover Athletic
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Yeovil
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Worthing
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-0 Torquay Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Yeovil
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Yeovil
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South


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