SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Oxford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Oxford City |
36.81% ( -0.07) | 25.22% ( 0.02) | 37.97% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.08) | 46.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% ( -0.07) | 68.93% ( 0.08) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.07) | 24.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( -0.1) | 59.42% ( 0.11) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0) | 24.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.01) | 58.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.97% |
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