SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
21.03% ( 0.13) | 23.14% ( 0.03) | 55.82% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( 0.04) | 47.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( 0.03) | 69.26% ( -0.03) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( 0.16) | 36.58% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( 0.16) | 73.37% ( -0.16) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( -0.05) | 16.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.47% ( -0.08) | 46.53% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.03% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 55.82% |
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