SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
46.36% ( -4.2) | 24.72% ( 0.67) | 28.92% ( 3.52) |
| Both teams to score 55.94% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( -0.41) | 46.82% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( -0.39) | 69.07% ( 0.39) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -1.88) | 20.27% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( -3.09) | 52.61% ( 3.09) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( 2.48) | 29.84% ( -2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 2.89) | 65.93% ( -2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.82)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.71)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.63)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.36)Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.92% |
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