Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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