SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Chelmsford City |
39.26% ( -1.78) | 23.81% ( 0.11) | 36.94% ( 1.67) |
| Both teams to score 62.18% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% ( -0.33) | 39.94% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.7% ( -0.34) | 62.3% ( 0.34) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( -0.96) | 20.58% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( -1.54) | 53.11% ( 1.54) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 0.72) | 21.71% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.13% ( 1.08) | 54.87% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.94% |
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